Yes position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$44.8
Polymarket Trader
0x1902a48aA912d1908E6EceB2D21BeA2b40cC02d0-1758900833346
0x1902a48aa912d1908e6eceb2d21bea2b40cc02d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.52
- Realized PnL
- $163.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.3%
- Current value
- $30.36
- Potential payout
- $43.22
- Potential profit
- $12.86
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.51
- Potential profit
- $42.51
- User PnL
- -$25.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.4%
- Current value
- $8.21
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $21.8
- Multiplier
- 3.66x
- User PnL
- -$7.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.24
- Potential profit
- $28.24
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $18.42
- Potential payout
- $20.58
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Yes position
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.34
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 61.6% 43.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 28.4% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 52.8% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 53.8% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 31.2% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 22.8% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 13.5% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 96.4% 15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 96.2% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 86.9% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No 86% 5 shares