No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $596.87
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$422.81
Polymarket Trader
datawitch
0x19167bff74cadaedf6dd31953a0fd79d86d3b8ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.55K
- Realized PnL
- $8.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $77.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $80.94
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $129.2
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$88.4
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $412.17
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $836.83
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$171.75
No position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $244.08
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $772.92
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$463.47
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $767.87
- Potential payout
- $937
- Potential profit
- $169.13
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $298.96
- Potential payout
- $463.51
- Potential profit
- $164.55
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$28.72
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $350
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $31.54
- Potential payout
- $368.88
- Potential profit
- $337.34
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$39.61
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $232.26
- Potential payout
- $248.4
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.45
- Potential payout
- $35.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.17
No position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.37
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.61
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247
Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.9
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.25
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $199.4
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.64
Yes position
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.18
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $131.12
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.99
Yes position
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.004 before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.39
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.52
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.09
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 50% 35.44 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 50% 1,500 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 50.1% 3,082.21 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 76.1% 2,000 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 28.9% 1,200 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 70.7% 463.51 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No 47% 1,000 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No 46% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No 45% 36 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No 44% 13 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 98% 5.03 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 22.9% 200 shares