Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Polymarket Trader
elcuervo33
@indiceargentino
0x1917d3e94eca2716e5d11025455630976eec138b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $116.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $8.46
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.3
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.8
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- User PnL
- -$5.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.22
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.43
- Potential profit
- $6.43
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.76
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?Yes 54.8% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 56% 15.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 56% 50.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 43% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 43% 7.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 43% 7.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?No 20% 14.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 43% 6.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 49% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No 49% 5.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?No 47% 12.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?No 48% 10.95 shares