Polymarket Trader

0x191d...9caf

0x191dc9cf3181793a37189e911ff19c38ddcc9caf

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $209.06
Realized PnL: -$61.41
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $21.86
Potential payout: $386.89
Potential profit: $365.03
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$12.96

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $248.75
Potential profit: $248.38
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.53

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.04
Potential profit: $109.04
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $16.82
Potential payout: $88.28
Potential profit: $71.47
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.88
Potential profit: $83.88
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $25.23
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $40.56
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.59
Potential profit: $50.59
User PnL: -$29.85

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $45.23
Potential profit: $38.22
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$12.89

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $39.79
Potential payout: $39.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $24.87

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35.84
Potential payout: $35.84
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $19.84

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.25
Potential payout: $34.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.25

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $27.89
Potential payout: $30.15
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.62

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.21

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Will Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.95

No position

Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.35

No position

Will Trump say "Equipment" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.92

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.87

No position

Will Tesla dip to $338 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 44.6% 35.84 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 22.9% 109.04 shares
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Yes 73% 34.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 48% 39.91 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 37.5% 39.79 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 88.28 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 34.1% 58.4 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Yes 32% 69.56 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 29% 65.11 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 20% 97.11 shares
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)

No 54.7% 22.84 shares
Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)

No 61.4% 22.5 shares