dgfd76

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $421.01
Potential payout: $431.36
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.01

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $359.02
Potential payout: $368.04
Potential profit: $9.02
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $15.98

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $265.26
Potential payout: $333.66
Potential profit: $68.4
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $265.21
Potential payout: $315.91
Potential profit: $50.7
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.68

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $199.73
Potential payout: $271.74
Potential profit: $72.01
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $39.09
Potential payout: $269.6
Potential profit: $230.51
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$114.18

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $46.22
Potential payout: $249.86
Potential profit: $203.64
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $156.68
Potential payout: $181.13
Potential profit: $24.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.99
Potential profit: $147.99
User PnL: -$1.04

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.32
Potential profit: $143.32
User PnL: -$29.29

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $89.53
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $51.46
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $58.8
Potential payout: $126.45
Potential profit: $67.65
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$5.13

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.99
Potential profit: $121.99
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $21.21
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$27.57

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $65.09
Potential profit: $63.53
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $64.51
Potential profit: $54.67
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $62.74
Potential payout: $64.22
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $55.36
Potential payout: $61.51
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $28.45
Potential payout: $50.37
Potential profit: $21.92
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.76

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.78
Potential profit: $44.78
User PnL: -$30

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $39.99
Potential payout: $43.54
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $626.64

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $199.65

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.2

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.01

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.21

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

G2 position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?