Polymarket Trader

0xED071e093b4Df391d6206feC12C4B60EDe74a011-1734882139436

0x1928a2c891bf185309c7d8edb3a0d0f75f347c87

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.35
Realized PnL: $17.68
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.62
Potential profit: $229.62
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.39
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.05
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.5

Under position

England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.03
Potential profit: $8.03
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Under position

England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.35

Under position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91
Potential profit: $4.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.02

Under position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.71
Potential profit: $4.71
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31
Potential profit: $2.31
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Over 25% 4 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

No 25% 4 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 34% 7.35 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 5.23 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.2% 8.13 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 16.12 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 15.87 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.3% 8.13 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 16.13 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 15.87 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Over 37% 2.7 shares