No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $201.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Polymarket Trader
Guoboyue
0x1936e71fb72786cca17585fedc430091454e1d16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.01K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.56K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $171.81
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$128.19
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $80.36
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$17.64
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $38.95
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$61.05
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $308.35
- Potential payout
- $565.79
- Potential profit
- $257.43
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $39.32
- Potential payout
- $514
- Potential profit
- $474.68
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $301.15
- Potential payout
- $480.77
- Potential profit
- $179.62
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455.26
- Potential profit
- $455.26
- User PnL
- -$346
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.36
- Potential profit
- $189.36
- User PnL
- -$89
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $134.2
- Potential payout
- $134.67
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- $33.2
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.83
- Potential profit
- $108.83
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $19.59
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.37
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.86
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 252.75 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.4% 480.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 8.2% 606.56 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 18.4% 108.83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 91.6% 988.02 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 565.79 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.5% 514 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 78.8% 545.69 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 218.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 75% 133.33 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.8% 1,730.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 15% 666.67 shares