Polymarket Trader

0xbadbeef

0x193a2a8ae48bcbcbabb5da9f0deda08a8f0aac57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.27K
Realized PnL: $2.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $7.34K
Potential payout: $7.54K
Potential profit: $207.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $5.63
User PnL: $343.56

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $8.04
User PnL: $227.99

No position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $27.71
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $155.54

Yes position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $83.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$14.99

No position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $2.12
User PnL: $85.36

No position

US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.29
Potential payout: $3.52
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.41

No position

NATO article 5 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.93

No position

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.55

No position

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.42

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.46

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.92

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.38

No position

Obama arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.66

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.79

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.79

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.96

No position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.01

No position

Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

No position

Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.11

No position

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.27

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

No position

Russian strike on Poland by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

No position

Will Grok be the next CEO of X?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.99

No position

Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

No position

Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

No position

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 99.7% 2,680.1 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97% 4,743.76 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 3,285.28 shares
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Yes 95.7% 1,568.12 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.7% 1,250.97 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.7% 1,667.95 shares
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 110.24 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 1,967.74 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.3% 2,194.91 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.3% 8,895.53 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.3% 5,194.05 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.3% 3,000 shares