0x193Ca55F14Ff81B8b72fd574aefA16547B6b6EBA-1777975255550

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $47.52
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $47.55
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.32
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $50.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.26
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $40.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.82
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.72
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.52
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $45.8
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $48.62
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.47
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $50.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $40.29
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $40.29
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.02
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $49.47
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $50.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.26
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $42.79
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?