Polymarket Trader

Quit2000

0x19400a3a4530b9ecefe71c94ad4d012feab900a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $671.9
Realized PnL: $1.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $453.86
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.19
Potential profit: $374.19
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $39.31
Potential payout: $198.02
Potential profit: $158.71
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.4
Potential profit: $125.4
User PnL: -$43.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $52.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $58.33
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $12.78

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.23
Potential profit: $103.23
User PnL: -$64

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $69.08
Potential payout: $92.17
Potential profit: $23.09
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $29.08

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $82.58
Potential payout: $90.74
Potential profit: $8.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $62.18
Potential payout: $89.48
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $75.29
Potential payout: $81.4
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.29

No position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $67.55
Potential payout: $70.59
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.55

No position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $40.34
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $28.62
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $20.34

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $57.74
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $17.74

No position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $30.52
Potential payout: $48.06
Potential profit: $17.54
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.85
Potential profit: $46.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $14.04
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $32.02
Potential payout: $33.26
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.68
Potential profit: $17.68
User PnL: -$3.7

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.27

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.54

No position

Will the next James Bond be British?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.06

No position

U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.18

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.99

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.18

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.33

No position

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.86

No position

Weed rescheduled by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.32

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.07

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.03

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.36

No position

Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.33

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.75

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.51

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.15

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.83

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76

No position

US-EU trade agreement by July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.74

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 62% 8.06 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 36% 111.11 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

No 57% 35.09 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

No 29% 68.97 shares
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 81% 37.04 shares
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20.2% 198.02 shares
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

No 62.4% 48.06 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 43.4% 92.17 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

No 99% 73.27 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 31% 374.19 shares
Epstein client list released by June 30?

No 96.6% 120.98 shares