No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $60.79
- Potential payout
- $105.73
- Potential profit
- $44.94
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Polymarket Trader
hadarhaddad
0x1946e97c0fbcbf687144f626513df2dee39a6367
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $423.05
- Realized PnL
- $5.17
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $44.94
- Potential payout
- $105.73
- Potential profit
- $60.79
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.43
N
No position
Germany to win the second half?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.83
- Potential profit
- $52.83
- User PnL
- -$14.97
N
No position
Paraguay to win the second half?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $48.33
- Potential payout
- $48.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.4
N
No position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $23.12
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $20.46
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.18
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.12
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $16.59
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will England win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $16.88
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $15.56
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.56
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $13.41
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $12.44
- Potential payout
- $12.53
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $11.96
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $12.09
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.47
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.49
- Potential payout
- $12.51
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.49
- Potential payout
- $12.51
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $12.36
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Japan to win the second half?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.18
N
No position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
N
No position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Ghana win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win the World Cup?No 99.7% 0.62 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 88.5% 0.62 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 20% 0.62 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No 99.3% 0.62 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No 99.1% 0.62 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No 93.6% 0.62 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 20% 5 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 89% 5 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No 99.3% 5 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No 93% 5 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will Ghana win the World Cup?No 99.7% 5 shares