No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.22
- Potential profit
- $16.22
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
numbuhone
0x194cb7e4c1d8068880d6f55d5962429072f6f88b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.57
- Realized PnL
- -$7.59
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US kicks trans members out of military before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Yoon in jail before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 37% 16.22 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Yoon in jail before August?No 42% 17.14 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No 65% 15.38 shares
- Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No 76% 5.16 shares
- Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?No 67% 1.49 shares
- US kicks trans members out of military before July?No 48.4% 15.71 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 75% 1.33 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 1.2 shares