Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.43K
- Potential profit
- $179.43K
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
Polymarket Trader
Election2024
0x19580c442085fb520ac9c56edc1a7a97fdf4310b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.68K
- Realized PnL
- $9.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $425.6
- Potential payout
- $121.6K
- Potential profit
- $121.17K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$412.59
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.88K
- Potential profit
- $106.88K
- User PnL
- -$539.23
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $265.19
- Potential payout
- $88.4K
- Potential profit
- $88.13K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$154.25
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $325.36
- Potential payout
- $72.3K
- Potential profit
- $71.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$595.77
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.85K
- Potential profit
- $49.85K
- User PnL
- -$931
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $439.63
- Potential payout
- $46.28K
- Potential profit
- $45.84K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$475.03
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $438.06
- Potential payout
- $41.72K
- Potential profit
- $41.28K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $92
- Potential payout
- $36.8K
- Potential profit
- $36.71K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$103.41
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.06K
- Potential profit
- $28.06K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $142.83
- Potential payout
- $25.97K
- Potential profit
- $25.83K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$229.19
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.95K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $48.25
- Potential payout
- $19.3K
- Potential profit
- $19.25K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.62
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $298.9
- Potential payout
- $17.08K
- Potential profit
- $16.78K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$452.69
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $119.38
- Potential payout
- $4.7K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$228.61
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- User PnL
- -$610.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$22.74
Yes position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $896
- Potential profit
- $896
- User PnL
- -$35.64
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $284.4
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $181
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.41
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $607.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $447.13
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $380.1
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $336.9
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.78
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $169.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.01
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Yes position
$BTC dips below $50k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.66
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.04
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.66
Cowboys position
Giants vs. Cowboys
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.03
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.16
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Bengals
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,500 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.8% 400 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.1% 2,500 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.2% 600 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 1,200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 7.2% 300 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.1% 1,600 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 2.9% 3,900 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.7% 1,400 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.3% 300 shares
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 3,528.08 shares