No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $483.06
- Potential payout
- $508.48
- Potential profit
- $25.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $113.06
Polymarket Trader
Mrpike
0x196496d512ecb6b192a61aad1a115068fe8b5e04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $954.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.83
- Potential profit
- $222.83
- User PnL
- -$155.94
N
No position
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.29
- Potential profit
- $186.29
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will John Fleming drop out?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $115.18
- Potential payout
- $137.12
- Potential profit
- $21.94
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.13
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.13
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.08
- Potential profit
- $123.08
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $112.35
- Potential payout
- $115.23
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $95.96
- Potential payout
- $107.22
- Potential profit
- $11.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.95
- Potential profit
- $89.95
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $68.84
- Potential payout
- $80.05
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $70.42
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $65.37
- Potential payout
- $65.93
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $60.58
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $59.06
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49.06
No position
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.15
- Potential profit
- $58.15
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $53.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.93
- Potential profit
- $50.93
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.38
- Potential profit
- $40.38
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.73
- Potential profit
- $35.73
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.59
- Potential profit
- $26.59
- User PnL
- -$19.8
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.08
N
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.87
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.88
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.55
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.84
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.16
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.61
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.12
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.31
No position
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
No position
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.93
No position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.19
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.74
No position
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.47
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
No position
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.16
No position
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 76.7% 13.04 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?Yes 48.5% 20.61 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 88% 45.46 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.1% 22.72 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 74.2% 6.74 shares
- Will Victor Glover be chosen for the Artemis III mission?No 92.5% 10.81 shares