Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $209
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $21.79K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $33
Polymarket Trader
HerlihyM92
0x197040709ae61627d3685a8d6ce1f9e82e6b398d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.3K
- Realized PnL
- $45.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.91K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$137.5
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $116.25
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.38K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$22.74
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$61.2
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $25.09
- Potential payout
- $5.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.55K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$24.57
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $176.14
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $60.94
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $126.59
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $63.3
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$375.26
Yes position
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$30.28
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$121.42
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $364.7
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $728.04
No position
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- $11.41
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $58.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $168.1
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $593.14
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $456.85
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$138.85
Yes position
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $35.42
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $16.37
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $965.28
- Potential profit
- $965.28
- User PnL
- -$98.77
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $907.89
- Potential payout
- $960.73
- Potential profit
- $52.84
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $426.88
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $770.18
- Potential payout
- $821.09
- Potential profit
- $50.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $296.68
Yes position
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $462.28
- Potential payout
- $728
- Potential profit
- $265.72
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $115.84
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $112.72
- Potential payout
- $727.21
- Potential profit
- $614.49
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$286.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $565.9
- Potential payout
- $605.24
- Potential profit
- $39.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $112.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.74
No position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by less than 15%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.3
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.25
Yes position
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.41
Yes position
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.51
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.99
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.91
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.92
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.07
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 35% 200 shares
- No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?No 94% 60 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes 55% 175 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No 98.4% 1,100 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 88.6% 95.37 shares
- Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 298 shares
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 0.01 shares
- Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 157.7 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 26% 200 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.7% 10 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.4% 10 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No 95.7% 280 shares