No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $83.2K
- Potential payout
- $88.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.52K
Polymarket Trader
luciousleft
0x1986a3e555dd2a334c33c34b0168170cff54ef06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.21K
- Realized PnL
- $221.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $367.71
- Potential profit
- $362.38
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$116.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.38K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.27K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.19K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8K
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.63K
Yes position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16K
No position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 33% 367.71 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 92.7% 315.42 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 88% 31,047.43 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98% 27,037.12 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 97.9% 9,225.58 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.3% 194,524.18 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.2% 577.87 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.9% 4,010 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.8% 329.32 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.8% 10,553 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.8% 16,487.27 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.7% 34.19 shares