Polymarket Trader

0x1992Ae1447A6DD17b17eA51C5bE55d9e076FDA5F-1721785561747

0x1992ae1447a6dd17b17ea51c5be55d9e076fda5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.99
Realized PnL: $106.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $30.77
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.32
Potential payout: $20.35
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $14.98
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.63
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $10.89
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.6
Potential profit: $8.6
User PnL: -$8.22

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $6.64
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Wizards vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.93

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will someone else be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Solana reach $250 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.8% 8 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 97.5% 6.64 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99% 7 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 11 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

No 99.7% 12 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?

No 99.6% 11 shares
Trump out as President by May 31?

No 99.2% 12.5 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

No 98.6% 15 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.7% 5.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 95.6% 8.6 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?

No 99.7% 8.03 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?

No 99.8% 9.91 shares