0x1994...f824

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $374.09
Potential payout: $589.12
Potential profit: $215.03
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$203.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $86.08
Potential payout: $273.27
Potential profit: $187.19
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$35.82

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $264.13
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 29.2%
Current value: $34.33
Potential payout: $117.58
Potential profit: $83.25
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: -$49.09

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $68.14
Potential profit: $67.52
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.52
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $22.18
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $12.86
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 52.1%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $7.76
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.33
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $4.93
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 78.8%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $4.66
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $3.16
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $3.07
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.14

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.04

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.79

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.83

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.28

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Over position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5