Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $522.48
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $43.64
Polymarket Trader
Ale8cc
0x1994a0262b87fb5401967b027f76dfd5c42ab4e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $3.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $60.7
- Potential payout
- $955.92
- Potential profit
- $895.22
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$69.84
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $832.89
- Potential profit
- $828.31
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $124.75
- Potential payout
- $712.85
- Potential profit
- $588.1
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$35.78
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $712.33
- Potential profit
- $710.55
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $691.95
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $600.01
- User PnL
- -$30.8
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $503.01
- Potential profit
- $491.69
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $15.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $384.6
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $389.4
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $282.75
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $238.67
- Potential payout
- $240.23
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- $124.18
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.73
- Potential profit
- $200.73
- User PnL
- -$98.87
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.7
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $98.45
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $34.44
- Potential payout
- $109.33
- Potential profit
- $74.89
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.95
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$24.25
Yes position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.07
- Potential profit
- $51.07
- User PnL
- -$15.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.17
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.65
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.71
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.82
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.42
Venezuela position
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.6
Sean Brady position
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.53
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.2
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.84
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $39.25
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.61
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.33
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.48
Pimblett position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Yes 5.8% 318.63 shares
- Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes 70.6% 22.03 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Yes 2.5% 41.62 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes 1.2% 211.41 shares
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes 30% 51.07 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes 1.9% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 24% 294.98 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 206.15 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 103.01 shares