Polymarket Trader

FishMan2

0x19b911549009c7dc3c49bd252b935a70c5a8d75e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.25K
Realized PnL: $5.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $687.44
Potential payout: $25.94K
Potential profit: $25.25K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $38.91

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $103.01
Potential payout: $22.89K
Potential profit: $22.79K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$97.21

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $169.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $13.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485
Potential profit: $485
User PnL: -$120.28

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.77
Potential profit: $454.77
User PnL: -$296.87

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $238.68
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $169.32
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$6.12

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $315
User PnL: -$99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.45
Potential profit: $185.45
User PnL: -$170.47

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $56.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$33.85

No position

UK sanctions on Russia by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$5

No position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$4.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.41

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.29

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.63

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.91

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.85

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $282.62

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.87

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.33

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.29

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.73

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.3

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.03

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.16

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.6

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.97

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.89

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 60% 49.99 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 49.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 58% 200 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Up 93% 222.77 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Up 35.1% 115.55 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 50.7% 267.95 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 63% 130 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 130 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 21% 150 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 2,890 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 67% 150 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 5% 10 shares