Polymarket Trader

Jwhang

0x19bb3f9d7b59cacbc86922604837b4d7a888e7b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $331.6
Realized PnL: $701.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $112.64
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $51.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.17
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $25.77
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.99
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.79

SpaceX position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $22.34
Potential payout: $24.15
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $23.24
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $22.41
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

USDC depeg by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.94
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.3
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $18.21
Potential payout: $18.29
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $14.6
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.6%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $12.24
Potential profit: $3.84
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $6.16

No position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $11.15
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.05

Clarke position

Zuffa Boxing 7: Massey vs. Clarke (Cruiserweight, Main)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.99

Yes position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.34

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.15

No position

Yoon reinstated as President before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.21

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.31

Crawford position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as Democratic Party presidential candidate?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Yes 13% 22.41 shares
Zuffa Boxing 7: Massey vs. Clarke (Cruiserweight, Main)

Clarke 44% 5 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 95% 54 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Yes 0.4% 321.84 shares
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

No 99.9% 24 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Usyk 93% 14.91 shares
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 93.4% 12 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 99.3% 34.89 shares
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

No 99.8% 26.86 shares
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Yes 94% 1.02 shares
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

No 6% 39.98 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 115 shares