Polymarket Trader

LasourceX

0x19cb32c1aff1f58ca96929c5ae7cc723d5eea867

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.52
Potential profit: $877.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $802.68
Potential profit: $802.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685.91
Potential profit: $685.91
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.83
Potential profit: $651.83
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.67
Potential profit: $566.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.84
Potential profit: $539.84
User PnL: -$9.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.28
Potential profit: $516.28
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.47
Potential profit: $512.47
User PnL: -$24.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.25
Potential profit: $501.25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.82
Potential profit: $465.82
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.94
Potential profit: $402.94
User PnL: -$63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.23

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.93

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.04

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 3% 169.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 96.9% 163.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 11.9% 82.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 41.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11.5% 261.48 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

16% 60.94 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 28.7% 34.88 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 18% 11.11 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 96% 30 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 20% 30 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 102 shares