Polymarket Trader

david.de

0x19d6ca5dc0a2a8c81e73973219f4849e4a3a40fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $527.18
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $36.46
Potential payout: $999
Potential profit: $962.54
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$57.14

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $132.89
Potential payout: $645.09
Potential profit: $512.2
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.99
Potential profit: $237.99
User PnL: -$177.45

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $196.47
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $38.82
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $22.66
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $133.59
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$27.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $136.45
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $107.41
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $32.94
Potential payout: $93.46
Potential profit: $60.51
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $22.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $16.59
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $74.32
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $76.34
Potential profit: $70.11
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $58.38
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $54.16
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.83

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $9.25
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.23
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $1.91
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 70.7% 32 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 79.3% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 99.9% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 73% 100 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 87% 63.41 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 78% 26 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 77% 50 shares
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 53% 1.87 shares
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 69% 8 shares
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 12% 10 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 52% 9.25 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 75% 10 shares