Polymarket Trader

Michel de Nostredame

0x19de30c1bf1152db0b36d5d548d6c9f6f485713e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.82K
Realized PnL: $4.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $159.01

No position

Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $239.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $190.26

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $870.2
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$260.2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $174.51
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $15.76

No position

Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $109.25

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $974.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $114.5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $975.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $145.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$33

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $274.22
Potential payout: $313.39
Potential profit: $39.17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $286.47
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $40.5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $75.48
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $24.49
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.19

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.2

No position

Solana all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.74

Yes position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.83

No position

Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.61

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.7

No position

Will Mbappé join a Saudi club this transfer window?

Ends Sep 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.5

No position

Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.18

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.9

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.46

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.05

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.26

No position

Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.26

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

Yes position

Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?

Ends Sep 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.5

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.58

Yes position

zkSync airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.99

Yes position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Yes 2% 750 shares
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Yes 70% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

No 94.5% 996.04 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

No 97.3% 199.61 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

No 97.2% 99.8 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

No 97.2% 997.98 shares
Will Solana reach $100 February 23-March 1?

No 98.2% 42.69 shares
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

No 88% 2,500 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 43% 99.23 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 85% 35 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 97% 1,000 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Yes 89.9% 200 shares