0x1a036500629a0B44e26aF36e40b23b717c3bB538-1731783415369

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $64.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $935.5
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $980.5
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $972.49
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $180.88
Potential payout: $699.74
Potential profit: $518.86
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $121.57

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $176.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $323.75
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $77.25

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $40.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $459.25
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$22.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $90.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $409.75
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $483.25
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$33.25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $50.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $449.74
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$18.25

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.73
Potential profit: $372.73
User PnL: -$19.4

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ohio State position

Ohio State vs. Notre Dame

Ends Jan 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.46

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.16

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.32

Kings position

Warriors vs. Kings

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.8

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.29

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Eagles position

Rams vs. Eagles

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.4

No position

Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.1

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

Chiefs position

Texans vs. Chiefs

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.05

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.48

Bills position

Ravens vs. Bills

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Rockets position

Cavaliers vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Lions

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.86

Yes position

Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.63

Yes position

Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.61

Yes position

Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.69

No position

Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.56

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.5

Yes position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?