Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $836.08
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $402.56
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$153.92
Polymarket Trader
weopdk
0x1a16a0c9f2c0101e372e72286ef2b96d677bf468
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.03K
- Realized PnL
- $876.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $132.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$73.35
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $148
- Potential payout
- $328.88
- Potential profit
- $180.88
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.67
- Potential profit
- $19.67
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.57
- Potential profit
- $18.57
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.88
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- User PnL
- -$13.5
No position
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $16.09
- Potential payout
- $16.33
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.83
- Potential profit
- $11.83
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.29
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.39
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 79.9% 1,238.64 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes 60.8% 328.88 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 59.7% 2,011.59 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 94.9% 1,159.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 74.6% 2,011.6 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 3.7% 42.3 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 81.1% 931.03 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 71.2% 406 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 88.9% 524.39 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 90.6% 524.39 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 73.9% 406 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 80.2% 1,699.8 shares