Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $634.75
- Potential profit
- $634.12
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.36
Polymarket Trader
senash
0x1a2d6b7099a1f891bd82ded8ef4e9d5e0fc72246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.57
- Realized PnL
- $233.52
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $174.1
- Potential payout
- $404.89
- Potential profit
- $230.79
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$25.9
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $155.83
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.29
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.1
Turkey position
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Serbia
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.89
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
No position
East coast port strike in January?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Turkey position
Euro Basket: Sweden vs Turkey
Ends Sep 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Yes 3.6% 634.75 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49.4% 404.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.5% 124.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84% 119.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 63% 243.19 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.5% 173.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 73% 173.97 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 64% 125 shares
- Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No 31% 96.77 shares
- Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 24% 108.1 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 65% 132.55 shares