Polymarket Trader

orderfill

0x1a37856fb0abf370386466ac83b13e31e17b6984

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.35K
Realized PnL: $34.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $11.91K
Potential payout: $12.01K
Potential profit: $96.05
User PnL: -$60.03

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.5K
User PnL: -$68.99

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$11.99

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$132.48

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $17.66
User PnL: $560.37

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $7.92
User PnL: $323.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $216.75
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $38.25

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $2.46K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $41.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $106.25

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $45.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $130.9

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $666.76
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$25.32

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923
Potential profit: $923
User PnL: -$469.9

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $328.86
Potential payout: $363.38
Potential profit: $34.52
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $51.51

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $184.65
Potential payout: $188.32
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $13.28

No position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $98.82
Potential payout: $163.33
Potential profit: $64.52
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$23.68

No position

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $84.56
Potential payout: $87.95
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $54.29
Potential profit: $6.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $17.92
Potential payout: $18.76
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6K

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96K

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.28

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570.1

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.78

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.2

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.08

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.03

No position

Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.86

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.83

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $660 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.24

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.94

No position

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.06

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.16

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.27

No position

Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.37

No position

Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.36

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.69

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.7% 10,000 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.7% 2,006.02 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

No 0.2% 1,500 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

No 2.8% 2,000 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 1,688 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 74% 35 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 50% 888 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 99.8% 22.69 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87% 30 shares