Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $65.52
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Polymarket Trader
0x1A3c0fD634D02Ce5221463f05d
0x1a3c0fd634d02ce5221463f05db5280ad1844a4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $221.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $68.66
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $64.86
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $69.24
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $70.12
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $52.31
- Potential payout
- $52.76
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $9.3
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.67
- Potential profit
- $47.67
- User PnL
- -$20.02
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.29
- Potential profit
- $47.29
- User PnL
- -$17.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.72
- Potential profit
- $45.72
- User PnL
- -$21.49
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.93
- Potential profit
- $40.93
- User PnL
- -$17.97
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $32.8
- Potential payout
- $40.25
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.36
- Potential profit
- $39.36
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.36
- Potential profit
- $39.36
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.36
- Potential profit
- $39.36
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.36
- Potential profit
- $39.36
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $39.32
- Potential profit
- $16.32
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.03
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- User PnL
- -$21.57
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $33.54
- Potential profit
- $28.49
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$16.89
No position
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $32.25
- Potential profit
- $12.58
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.15
- Potential profit
- $32.15
- User PnL
- -$22.51
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $20.11
- Potential payout
- $30.7
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $28.74
- User PnL
- -$20.69
No position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $20.81
- Potential payout
- $28.5
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $28.5
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.59
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.6% 59.68 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.3% 43.74 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 42% 51.36 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?No 59% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 65% 62.66 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.4% 13.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 16.6% 74.97 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 67% 31.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 51.58 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99% 8 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 46% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.1% 53.39 shares