Polymarket Trader

cloud888

@ihateyou00007

0x1a48d85bea674f14b448e309a6b27c1d9028c91b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $492.72
Realized PnL: -$0.29
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $56.93
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $1.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Fed abolished before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $49.93
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $1.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $46.68
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.97

No position

EU dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $33.07
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $31.8
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.61

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $31.55
Potential payout: $32.11
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $29.7
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $27.96
Potential payout: $28.8
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $17.01
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $16.83
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $17.69
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $16.61
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $15.94
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $15.46
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $15.18
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $14.03
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

US civil war before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.46

No position

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $12.38
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Fed abolished in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Is Earth flat?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

No 97.7% 8.8 shares
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 95.8% 18 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No 95.7% 18 shares
US civil war before 2027?

No 90.3% 15 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

No 75% 19 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 86% 18 shares
EU dissolves before 2027?

No 95.5% 18 shares
China coup attempt before 2027?

No 96% 17 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

No 99.2% 18 shares
Fed abolished before 2027?

No 96.4% 18 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.3% 18 shares
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

No 97.7% 18 shares