No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
0x1A58Ea970d8907142573E23B04339980e736F18a-1767115835805
0x1a58ea970d8907142573e23b04339980e736f18a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.1
- Realized PnL
- $744.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$71
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $46.66
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$18.33
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735
- Potential profit
- $735
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $133.56
- Potential payout
- $721.95
- Potential profit
- $588.39
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $14.56
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $582.02
- Potential profit
- $582.02
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Yes position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.1
- Potential profit
- $488.1
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $383
- Potential profit
- $383
- User PnL
- -$32.69
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.34
- Potential profit
- $277.34
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.67
- Potential profit
- $185.67
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.87
- Potential payout
- $161.36
- Potential profit
- $152.49
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$12.12
Yes position
Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.82
- Potential profit
- $89.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $71.92
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.75
- Potential profit
- $64.75
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.65
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.16
- Potential profit
- $31.16
- User PnL
- -$29.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.91
- Potential profit
- $30.91
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 156.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown 13% 7.69 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 225 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Yes 6.4% 571.04 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 17% 64.71 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?Yes 4.3% 243.9 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 17% 241.18 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.7% 533.76 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 46.3% 64.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.7% 2,000 shares