Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
eth6900
0x1a7a579d3254f7e152d7a7efafaf01187d6f8465
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.4
- Realized PnL
- $416.4
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.9
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.5
Under position
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Under position
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.43
Under position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.76x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?Yes 18% 4.03 shares
- Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Yes 4% 35 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?Yes 21% 5.32 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?Yes 21% 5.32 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?Yes 20% 5.32 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?Yes 39.4% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 9?Yes 13% 20 shares
- Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?No 46% 8.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 8?No 88% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 8?Yes 40.7% 334.26 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?Yes 0.2% 224.98 shares