Yes position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $220.07
- Potential payout
- $244.52
- Potential profit
- $24.45
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $20.07
Polymarket Trader
theyreminerals
0x1a832a88c2cabc07e7bfec6b9b2a9d910ee87e38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $220.07
- Realized PnL
- $6.5K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.33
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.99
Yes position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.09
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.08
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$26.39
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.77
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.3
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$82.15
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.21
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$170.88
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$171.83
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Yes 81.8% 244.52 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 143.45 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 12% 107.69 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 60 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 29.1% 34.33 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 10 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 21.69 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 17.43 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 13% 239.73 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 72% 239.73 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 67.8% 110.6 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 67.8% 110.61 shares