Yes position
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x1a8f...2cd1
0x1a8f752534a1b74a764001f0a225bbf1ef882cd1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.07
- Realized PnL
- $185.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.5
- Potential profit
- $262.5
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $216.77
- Potential profit
- $216.45
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.96
- Potential profit
- $145.96
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Athletics position
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Meta position
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.42
- Potential profit
- $36.42
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.8%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $26.6
- Potential profit
- $17.61
- Multiplier
- 2.96x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.22
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.86
- Potential profit
- $15.86
- User PnL
- -$2.22
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 21?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $9.76
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $7.44
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0.84
N
No position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $10.8
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.23
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- User PnL
- -$2.97
No position
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$3.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.68
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- User PnL
- -$3.53
No position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.39
- Potential profit
- $6.39
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- User PnL
- -$2.55
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $6.13
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.06
Yes position
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.77
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.66
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.29
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 21?No 29% 13.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 35% 5.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?No 87.5% 5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 37% 5.97 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 44% 10.11 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No 71% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?No 66% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?No 61% 5 shares
- US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No 54% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?No 68% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No 31% 12 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?No 27% 18.51 shares