Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$51
Polymarket Trader
northern-alliance-2
0x1aba4dd4afd35a7c75d3fe4736e8c36ba2fed0d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $245.43
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $69.57
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$40.97
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $926.79
- Potential profit
- $926.79
- User PnL
- -$105.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $20.31
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $604.69
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$29.69
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $115.5
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $434.5
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417
- Potential profit
- $417
- User PnL
- -$50.04
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $22.8
- Potential payout
- $399.96
- Potential profit
- $377.16
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.97
- Potential profit
- $299.97
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.99
- Potential profit
- $281.99
- User PnL
- -$24.53
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $212.75
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.65
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.1
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yes 5.7% 13.1 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 3% 1,700 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 250 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 300 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.7% 82 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.3% 45.6 shares
- US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes 11% 399.66 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 19% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 2.1% 500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 11% 136.36 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 23% 130.43 shares