Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.77
- Potential payout
- $14.77
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.61
Polymarket Trader
0x1aBbD4e92C5a73F2FB07FBEca1302c5c67641B2e-1769241208517
0x1abbd4e92c5a73f2fb07fbeca1302c5c67641b2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.5
- Realized PnL
- -$2.98
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 89.3% 9.14 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?No 99.9% 7.95 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Yes 1.2% 5.97 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?No 88% 6.82 shares
- Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 71% 4.23 shares
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?No 72% 4.17 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Yes 67% 4.48 shares
- Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No 62% 1.61 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Yes 67% 1.49 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No 90% 1.11 shares