Polymarket Trader

Tolyaevo

0x1abebf566e4f01451bbe07896d35b08a8f683fa8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.15
Realized PnL: $8.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.99
Potential profit: $94.99
User PnL: -$21.85

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $7.66
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Alpine finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $3.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will any other team finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kevin Fiala win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.6K

Up position

Solana Up or Down on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Magic

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.16

Opelka position

Swiss Indoors Basel: Reilly Opelka vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.06

No position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.91

No position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.21

No position

Will Elon tweet 750 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 7 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Kanye name his token Swasticoin?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.008 before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 87.3% 7.66 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?

Yes 99.9% 22.02 shares
Swiss Indoors Basel: Reilly Opelka vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Opelka 48% 15,000 shares
Bulls vs. Magic

Bulls 51% 15,616 shares
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Down 50% 15,313 shares
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Down 50% 15,313 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Down 50% 11,666.25 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Down 50% 3,888.75 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Down 50% 15,555 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Down 50% 15,700 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Up 50% 20,666 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 30?

No 54% 303.52 shares