Polymarket Trader

miraRisch

@RischMiraPink

0x1ac81f8ea664cb2114dac2fd8c3fd0cd711ac3de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $305.67
Realized PnL: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $207.72
Potential payout: $241.54
Potential profit: $33.82
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $57.14

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $97.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.75

Sinner position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.12
Potential profit: $59.12
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.29

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.22

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111

No position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Yes position

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Vitality position

EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Liquid

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.93

Top Esports position

League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esports

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.45

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3400 on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $112,000 October 27-November 2?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Hanwha position

League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. Hanwha Life Esports

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $18

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 27-November 2?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

No 85.7% 100 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

No 85% 18.57 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 100 shares
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

No 97% 545 shares
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

No 96.7% 554.54 shares
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

No 99% 1,000 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 64% 191.54 shares
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Sinner 91% 100 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

No 98.6% 1,000 shares
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

No 99.6% 1,000 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 21, 2026?

No 99.3% 453.3 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 21, 2026?

No 99.2% 30 shares