Sun.Moon

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $656
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $144
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $203

Yes position

Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $216.83
Potential payout: $522.48
Potential profit: $305.65
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $26.23

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $404.99
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$68

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $185.57
Potential payout: $311.89
Potential profit: $126.32
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $29.31

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $68.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $131.9
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $41.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.1
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $34.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $165.7
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $15.3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $174.9
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $116.98
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $82.99
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $25.67

Yes position

Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $84.33
Potential payout: $170.36
Potential profit: $86.03
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$16.63

Yes position

Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $124.28
Potential payout: $149.73
Potential profit: $25.45
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $13.73

Yes position

Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $112.47
Potential payout: $147.02
Potential profit: $34.55
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $109.91
Potential payout: $129.62
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $101.9
Potential payout: $106.7
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$18

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $68.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$21.5

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $57.49
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Squid FDV above $40M one day after launch

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373

Yes position

Yellow FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.95

Yes position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.04

Yes position

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.36

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.1

Yes position

Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.16

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.49

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.39

Yes position

Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.46

Yes position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.95

No position

Perle Labs FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.35

No position

Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.95

Yes position

Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.93

Yes position

Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.27

Yes position

Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.3

Chinese Taipei position

First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.23

No position

Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

idOS FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.39

No position

Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?