Yes position
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.72K
- Potential profit
- $13.72K
- User PnL
- -$95.88
Polymarket Trader
alex59
0x1ace65152cb597f8d5c432030cf5650286be3038
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $958.56
- Realized PnL
- $580.54
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$108.55
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$93.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $832.74
- Potential payout
- $910.1
- Potential profit
- $77.36
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $45.65
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Coinbase before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.9%
- Current value
- $65.99
- Potential payout
- $200.58
- Potential profit
- $134.59
- Multiplier
- 3.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.95
- Potential profit
- $180.95
- User PnL
- -$121.37
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.33
- Potential profit
- $163.33
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Current value
- $25.69
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $89.25
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
TEAM VISION position
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $106.38
- User PnL
- -$100
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$40
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $30.24
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $17.38
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Cheeki_Breeki position
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
1win position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win (BO3)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.38
- Potential profit
- $18.38
- User PnL
- -$3
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.27
- Potential profit
- $17.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.77
- Potential profit
- $13.77
- User PnL
- -$10
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.29
- Potential profit
- $13.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $150.34
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.55
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.32
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.73
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.72
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.66
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.26
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.82
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $5.14
AVULUS position
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Rune Eaters position
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
HULIGANI position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine 68% 29.41 shares
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers 93% 53.76 shares
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers 63.7% 31.41 shares
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI 30.8% 32.42 shares
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI 27% 111.11 shares
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere 64% 62.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 59% 350.87 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No 87% 340.9 shares
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine 76% 140.79 shares
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine 77.6% 193.41 shares
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine 38% 16.94 shares
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine 59% 16.95 shares