silie

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$174

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $190.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $14.2

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $148
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $103.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $96.1
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $39.9

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $37.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62.15
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.4

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$22.83

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $35.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $49.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $12.92

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$38.5

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $45.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be between 14% and 15%?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21.05

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

No position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $17.88

No position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Sabres

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $11.85

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.15

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 78.1%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?