stanleywayno

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

OG position

Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Poor Rangers position

Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$20

Poor Rangers position

Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.98

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $33.8
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Level UP position

Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $12.89
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.11

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.08

OG position

Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 16?