Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.16K
- Potential payout
- $8.16K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.16K
Polymarket Trader
0x1ae0...b843
0x1ae04971c5a2be8e78f6afef3b3697790028b843
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.45K
- Realized PnL
- $708.09
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $989.37
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.77
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.1
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.85
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
Yes position
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.57
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$671
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57% 2,280.7 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.3% 8,163.27 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Yes 63.1% 317.02 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Yes 44.4% 338.1 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?Yes 55.6% 179.93 shares
- Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?No 97.5% 9,230.77 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 80% 838.75 shares
- Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes 94.5% 670.57 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No 88.7% 9,283.3 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?No 99.7% 8,255.26 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?No 98.5% 8,255.26 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No 81% 10,041.84 shares