Polymarket Trader

Whd146

0x1ae1eb9c321d8e5bd248000910d1be7387c30ebe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.35
Realized PnL: $12.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.75
Potential profit: $37.75
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.63
Potential profit: $9.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Defense" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 39.7% 37.75 shares
Will Starmer say "Defense" during the next PMQ?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 18?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Up 51.9% 9.63 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

No 48% 2.08 shares
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares