No position
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $126.35
- Potential payout
- $126.86
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $5.13
Polymarket Trader
univbar
0x1af419bafe90459114f5708cce09b46cddd9dc57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $423.26
- Realized PnL
- $290.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $114.36
- Potential payout
- $115.51
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.36
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $43.85
- Potential payout
- $92.31
- Potential profit
- $48.46
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$16.15
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $59.17
- Potential profit
- $51.15
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $51.67
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $41.4
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $11.34
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.06
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.15
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.2
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or higher on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No 93% 53.76 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 65% 76.92 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.2% 56.69 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.9% 59.17 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?No 96.3% 51.92 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 90% 55.56 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 1.5% 12.65 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 33% 46.87 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 69% 28.06 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 64% 46.88 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 79% 12.66 shares