Polymarket Trader

lumie

0x1b07073f60b6fbd6b56b5bc578b44c4dc941055f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.23
Realized PnL: $1.41K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $18.23
Potential payout: $84.99
Potential profit: $66.76
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

No position

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.94

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

Red Wings position

Red Wings vs. Hurricanes

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.01x
User PnL: -$1.23K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

No 85% 20 shares
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Yes 19.9% 84.99 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 88.4% 16.97 shares
Red Wings vs. Hurricanes

Red Wings 33% 84.85 shares
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025?

No 99.8% 120.7 shares
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025?

No 99.9% 120.7 shares
Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

No 99.6% 121.06 shares
Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

No 99.7% 121.06 shares
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?

No 39% 104.82 shares
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

No 94.4% 60.13 shares
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

No 94.6% 60.14 shares