Paraguay position
Spread: United States (-2.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$93
Polymarket Trader
0x1B0d9EF1E42b0a8D97D2ee0a3c0bC87CEF89b018-1772661558586
0x1b0d9ef1e42b0a8d97d2ee0a3c0bc87cef89b018
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $315.14
- Realized PnL
- $72.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.47
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.47
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $50.1
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $49.31
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $49.77
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $50.1
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $15.21
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Down position
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 10PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 98.1% 50.5 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 99% 15.21 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?No 99% 50.5 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 22?No 99% 5 shares
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?No 98.1% 50.5 shares
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?No 98.9% 50.5 shares
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No 99% 50.5 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 98.9% 50.5 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 98.8% 50.5 shares
- Takefusa Kubo: 1+ goalsNo 99% 50.5 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?No 99% 50.5 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.5 and 58 million views in week 1?No 99% 50.5 shares