Polymarket Trader

apolo7

0x1b0e979539ce6772baba309b69dbe3fdc36af132

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $153.97
Realized PnL: $229.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $23.85
Potential payout: $183.45
Potential profit: $159.6
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.8

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.45
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $8.04
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.7

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.11

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.13

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.29

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Airbnb dip to $116 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.03

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 88% 100 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 13.1% 233.59 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 97.8% 79.56 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?

No 99.8% 100 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 99.3% 101 shares
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 99.4% 103 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?

No 98.1% 105 shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 99.4% 106 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 99.5% 109.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Down 1% 100 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

20.5% 4.72 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?

No 98.2% 105 shares