Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $63.99
- Potential payout
- $250.96
- Potential profit
- $186.96
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$26.51
Polymarket Trader
user62781603
0x1b1b902145400663ee579482aa03f7917c0d52f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.99
- Realized PnL
- $58.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
Yes position
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7AM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 0.7% 27.43 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 5.6% 27.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?No 92% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 38% 33.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?No 92.6% 1.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?No 99.9% 1.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?No 94.4% 1.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?No 91% 1.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 4?No 95% 1.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 3?No 92% 1.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 3?No 88% 1.14 shares