Polymarket Trader

daogov3

0x1b1cf8da75db1beaabb2f0910fde7c1f90635cca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.71K
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $338.76
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$6.41

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $421.52
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $193.8
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $100.12

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $312.76
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $869.7
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $166

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $652.83
Potential payout: $773.04
Potential profit: $120.21
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $319.92

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.31
Potential profit: $291.31
User PnL: -$104.87

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $111.35
Potential payout: $268.32
Potential profit: $156.97
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $39.96

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.58
Potential profit: $262.58
User PnL: -$75.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $168.6
Potential payout: $217.55
Potential profit: $48.95
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $83.36

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $120.28
Potential payout: $175.72
Potential profit: $55.44
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $32.24

Yes position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $39.87
Potential payout: $144.99
Potential profit: $105.11
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$3.73

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $86.7
Potential payout: $131.36
Potential profit: $44.66
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $44.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $94.65
Potential payout: $113.36
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $41.52

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.76
Potential payout: $101.28
Potential profit: $80.51
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$24.84

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$35.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $71.17
Potential profit: $31.67
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $60.2
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.25
Potential profit: $61.25
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$20.3

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $17.17
Potential payout: $47.04
Potential profit: $29.87
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$17.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $40.28
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.01

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.34

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $77.3

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $75.68

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.64

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.4

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.31

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.85

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.2

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.1

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.25

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.74

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.84

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.97

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $32.67

Yes position

Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $20.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 80% 5.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 39% 2.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 36% 2.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 53% 1.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 65% 18.08 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares